History Only Rhymes

history-rhymes

Poetry is nearer to vital truth than history.

~Plato

In our recent discussions about the Couch Potato style of investing, I mentioned that this strategy relies on historical market returns. I pointed out that including a component that reflects valuations might improve the strategy. This is basically the Valuation Informed Indexing approach about which Rob Bennett often writes.

I mentioned in my last post that I like to look at historical data regarding market performance and valuations, but that I didn’t want to rely on it completely. I’ll explain my thinking here and you guys can let me know what you think.

Past Performance Is Not Indicative of Future Results

“History is a vast early warning system.” ~Norman Cousins

One of the [...]

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Stock Allocation: All or None?

beach-roller-coaster

Just remember, there’s a right way and a wrong way to do everything and the wrong way is to keep trying to make everybody else do it the right way.

~ M*A*S*H, Colonel Potter

Update: This article was included in the Carnival of Wealth #9 posted at Personal Dividends and in The Carnival of Financial Planning #163 posted at The Skilled Investor. Thank you!

I don’t like roller coasters. On a high school trip, however, a couple of friends convinced me to give it a try. I came off with my stomach in my throat and my knees moving sideways. It was not enjoyable. A couple of years later, some friends talked me into going horseback riding even though I was pretty sure I wouldn’t like it. That was one of the scariest experiences of my life as the horse took off and [...]

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No Respite in Diversification

Invest a few moments in thinking. It will pay good interest.

~ Author Unknown

Update: This article appeared in the Canadian Personal Finance and Investing Carnival posted at Investing Thesis. Thanks!

We’ve been talking about bubbles all week. So far, we’ve outlined 5 financial bubbles and 5 socioeconomic bubbles that could affect your money and your quality of life. It looks like we may have a bubble of bubbles on our hands. Does that have to be a bad thing? How can we prepare for the popping of these bubbles? What does all of this mean for your investment strategy?

Traditional Advice

One perennial piece of advice is that diversification can smooth out fluctuations in your investment returns. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. That way, if you have 3 baskets and one is dropped or [...]

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